Upcoming speaking engagements

On Tuesday, November 22, I will speak about my book “Paper Money Collapse” at the Adam Smith Institute in London. Please see this link for more details. On Saturday, November 26, I will speak at the European Bitcoin Conference in Prague, Czech Republic (details at this link). On December 1 and 2, I will be in Bratislava, Slovakia, where I will give a lecture at the F.A. Hayek Foundation and a speech at the “Future of Money” Conference. And if you are interested, here is a link to Canada’s The Globe and Mail, which ran a story about “Paper Money Collapse”.
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Hi Detlev. I enjoyed your talk which was excellent as ever.
I would be interested to know if you have changed your views at all about the future direction of ECB money printing, in light of Merkel’s apparent insistence that Germany will not permit it. If she sticks to her guns then it seems to me that we could then see a series of sovereign defaults and bank collapses in the Eurozone with a possible deflationary rather than inflationary recession. What do you think? Is Merkel just bluffing?
Best regards
David
Hi David, thanks for the nice comment! No, I have not changed my overall outlook although I am ready to admit that Merkel impresses me at the moment. I did not think I would ever write that. After all, a few months ago I wrote “Germany is finished”, and a few years ago I published an essay in German with the title “Nie wieder Deutschland”. I think that the sentiment expressed in those two pieces and the overall assessment of the country are still essentially correct. But in the present debate Merkel is, of course, right. This is a massive disaster, and there are no easy solutions. Default of sovereigns and certain banks is preferable to the inflationary default that would be the inevitable outcome of “unlimited” money printing from the ECB. I am quite appalled by the ever shriller, self-serving and ultimately short-sighted demands for an unlimited ECB backstop by the bank economists. It tells you how desperate the banks are. They are in a mess. If the ECB were to underwrite this gigantic fiasco it would lead to massive inflation. No doubt. Maybe not right away but it would be the endgame. So Merkel’s position is right and commendable but I don’t think she will succeed in the long run. This is of course a judgement call on my part. The future is not predetermined. Who knows. In any case, the market does not believe she will succeed. Bunds are under pressure and the euro is weaker. This smells like ‘fiscal union’ and ECB money printing.
Thank you again for the talk at the Adam Smith Institute. I have just started y reading your book and have gained a number of very useful insights already.
Dear Detlev,
I have just finished reading your book and it has clarified the intuition I had throughout the last 10 years that something just was not right with the levels of debt people were taking on board. Fortunately for me I worked hard to pay down my debt and now have productive land and a house mortage free. The last chapter in your book makes it very clear what I should do with my savings if I am not to be paying for the profligacy and erroneous thinking of others through currency debasement. I thank you for this.
I would also like to thank you for the detail of the replys you have offered to others who have posted on your site; it shows very good form and real selflessness of your time to help others.